NEW car sales dipped again in October, with 153,599 vehicles registered, according to figures released by the SMMT.
Deliveries fell by 2.9% in the month, as model changes and backlogs at test houses conducting tough new WLTP emissions certification continued to cause shortages across some brands.
Declines were seen in both private and fleet sectors, with registrations down -1.0% and -5.2% respectively. Continuing uncertainty over government policy on diesel saw demand for these new, low emission vehicles fall by a further 21.3%.
Registrations of petrol cars rose 7.1%, while the market for alternatively fuelled vehicles (AFVs) once again showed strong growth, up 30.7%, supported by new models.
Zero emission battery electric vehicles saw growth, up 86.9% to 584. Hybrid and plug-in hybrid vehicles, which make up the majority of AFV sales, also saw strong uplifts, growing 31.0% and 19.1% respectively.
The SMMT noted that this was not surprising given the announcement that the Plug-in Car Grant was to be cut for pure electric cars and withdrawn completely for plug-in hybrids – although, due to lead times, the full impact may not be seen for several months.
The figures come as SMMT publishes new industry forecasts for AFV demand, with registrations expected to grow 82.5% from 2017 levels by 2020.
Similar growth (88.3%) is projected for plug-in electric cars, with 92,620 new plug-in hybrid and battery electric cars expected to be sold in the same year – taking market share to around 4.0%.
This is at the lower end of government’s 3-7% stated ambition, with cuts to the Grant further undermining industry’s ability to deliver this ambition.
In the year to date, the overall new car sector remains down 7.2% on the same period last year, albeit with more than two million new cars registered in the first 10 months of 2018. Pending no further market disruption, some pull-back is hoped for during the remainder of the year as current supply issues ease, enabling manufacturers to cater for pent up demand on certain models.